Former US president Donald Trump emerged as the clear winner in the New Hampshire primary, solidifying his position as the frontrunner for the Republican nomination and reinforcing his bid for another term in the White House. Here are the key takeaways from Tuesday night’s results.
1. Trump’s Unstoppable Momentum: Throughout history, no Republican candidate who has won both the Iowa and New Hampshire primaries has ever lost the nomination battle. This historical data point heavily favors Trump, who is now widely perceived as the presumptive flag-bearer for the party heading into the November elections, despite facing multiple legal scandals and a chaotic presidency. Trump is already claiming a certain victory in Nevada and holds a significant lead over challenger Nikki Haley in her home state of South Carolina.
2. Haley’s Precarious Path: Despite finishing third in Iowa and second in New Hampshire, Haley remains determined to stay in the race until South Carolina. However, she faces significant challenges, including the fact that other defeated rivals and their major donors are quickly aligning themselves with Trump. If Haley fails to compete effectively against Trump in South Carolina, her campaign may come to an end.
3. Trump’s Rambling and Angry Victory Speech: Instead of taking the opportunity to sound magnanimous in victory, Trump used his New Hampshire victory speech to launch into rambling tirades about various topics, including illegal immigration, fuel prices, and his pessimistic view of the nation. He also made false claims about winning the 2020 presidential election and threatened revenge on those who opposed him. Haley’s campaign promptly questioned why Trump appeared so angry if he was truly in a strong position.
4. Warning Signs for Trump: Exit polls in New Hampshire revealed interesting insights into Republican voters, raising questions about how Trump will expand his support beyond his base. While 87 percent of Trump supporters believed he would be fit to serve as president even if convicted of a crime, only 12 percent of Haley’s more moderate supporters shared that view. Additionally, a large percentage of Trump followers doubted the legitimacy of President Biden’s 2020 election victory, whereas Haley voters were more likely to accept it.
5. Biden’s Good Night: Despite not being on the ballot, President Biden won the New Hampshire primary due to a write-in campaign. This symbolic victory occurred because New Hampshire Democrats decided to hold their primary on Tuesday, against the national party’s wishes. Meanwhile, Trump and Haley were engaged in a fierce battle, with Trump campaigning in swing-state Virginia and emphasizing his stance on reproductive rights.
As the Republican nomination process progresses, all eyes will be on how Trump and Haley navigate upcoming contests. While Trump appears to be in a strong position, the road ahead is uncertain, and the stakes for the country have never been higher, as acknowledged by President Biden.
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