Voters Don’t Want a Biden-Trump Rematch. This is Why.

Biden isn’t alarming his party with his rhetoric. Rather, it’s the seeming lack of response to his diminished political position. For months, he’s insisted everything is fine and preached calm. “You’re reading the wrong polls,” he insisted to reporters on Sunday. But he remains in a nosedive, with no signs of pulling up.

Monmouth University polling released Monday

has Biden sitting at 34 percent approval — his worst job rating ever from the polling shop. And in head-to-head, swing-state matchups with Trump, he’s consistently behind. Biden’s approval rating at this point in his term is the worst of any president at the same point since reputable national polling became available
according to FiveThirtyEight, which tracks the stat back to 1945

. No incumbent president has come back from such a hole to victory in the modern political era — and the White House doesn’t have a convincing message to panicked Democrats about why they shouldn’t be sweating.

Biden’s great fortune appears to be his opponent. Trump’s legal troubles have come roaring back after simmering in the background. On Tuesday, the Colorado high court ruled that Trump is ineligible to run again for president — and thus won’t appear on the state’s ballot — because of his role in stoking an insurrection on Jan. 6, 2021.

The ruling is likely to force the Supreme Court to resolve whether he can hold future public office, adding yet another question for the court to decide, in addition to
Special Counsel Jack Smith’s request to the Supreme Court last week
that they decide on Trump’s claim that he’s immune to prosecution for charges related to his bid to subvert the 2020 election.

But even if the Supreme Court rules in Trump’s favor in one or both of the cases that might be before them, his potential legal liabilities remain a black box that could easily sink his chances. Trump is going to spend much of 2024 in court — his first criminal trial is set to begin in March (though appeals could push back that date), right around when he hopes to wrap up the Republican nomination.

Primary voters haven’t seemed to mind Trump’s legal woes, but it’s an open question as to how many Americans will respond when they’re confronted with potential criminal convictions; some of them might remember why they soured on him or held their nose and voted for Biden in the first place.

If they’ve forgotten, Trump has provided fresh evidence to the Republican Party of his capriciousness as a leader and his willingness to blow up the party on a whim. Just this week, Trump called for a primary challenge to Rep. Chip Roy (R-Texas), a conservative lawmaker who’s supporting Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. Nevermind that the Texas filing deadline has passed already.

And from the man who brought you Doug Mastriano, Herschel Walker and Blake Masters, here’s Bernie Moreno: a former car dealer who’s never held elected office and is focused on “fighting the Deep State” in his run for Senate in Ohio. Moreno, who secured Trump’s official announcement on Tuesday, is locked in a tight primary battle with Ohio state Sen. Matt Dolan and Secretary of State Frank LaRose. A
November poll from Emerson College

has Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) leading Moreno by 11 points, while only beating LaRose by five and Dolan by three.

While Biden avoids the wrecking ball approach to his party, he confronts persistent, nagging problems that he hasn’t been able to knock down — among them, that he’s been an ineffective steward of the economy.

Polls report Americans continue to have a grim outlook of the economy — regardless of the actual state of the economy — despite Biden’s best efforts. And on Monday, the president discovered the limits of his embrace of industrial policy. U.S. Steel agreed on Monday to a full cash sale to Japan’s Nippon Steel worth $14.9 billion. The agreement has Rust Belt Democrats running for reelection — including Ohio’s Brown and Sen. Bob Casey of Pennsylvania — apoplectic, while Republicans pile on. It also takes some real air out of Biden’s carefully constructed self-image as a manufacturing whisperer who can protect American jobs, an essential part of his pitch to voters in key Midwestern swing states.

Add to that Biden’s political vulnerability on border security — voters
vastly prefer Trump to Biden on immigration issues
— where the president is resting his hopes on an elusive bipartisan immigration deal. Again, this week provided another cold shower: After weeks of bargaining to wrap the issue up before the holidays, any lasting hopes of an agreement fell apart on Tuesday as Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell issued a joint statement that they’re “committed” to getting something done in the new year.

Even if Biden can get a deal through, he’ll assuredly have to swallow concessions that will infuriate much of his party.
As Rep. Delia Ramirez (D-Ill.) told POLITICO
, “I’m an absolute no on any bill that’s going to change asylum status or remove parole.”

It’s a needle that might just be impossible to thread. Look at France, which
passed a hardline immigration bill this week

that has far-right leader Marine Le Pen claiming “ideological victory” and centrist President Emmanuel Macron’s party in total chaos. With the left — and in particular, young progressive voters — already threatening to abandon Biden in droves due to his support of Israel’s incursion into Gaza, a rightward lurch on immigration could drive these voters into the hands of a third-party candidate or to their couches next November.

Together, the recent run of show may have provided a revealing glance at what’s to come: a campaign that can’t gain momentum between candidates Americans don’t want.

According to a recent article titled “Voters Don’t Want a Biden-Trump Rematch. This is Why.”, there is growing concern within the Democratic Party about President Joe Biden’s declining political position. Despite Biden’s insistence that everything is fine, his approval ratings have reached an all-time low of 34 percent, according to a Monmouth University poll. In addition, he consistently trails behind former President Donald Trump in head-to-head matchups in swing states. This makes Biden’s approval rating the worst of any president since reputable national polling became available.

One factor that may be contributing to Biden’s declining popularity is his opponent, Trump. Although Trump is facing legal troubles and has been ruled ineligible to run for president in Colorado due to his involvement in the Capitol insurrection, his potential legal liabilities remain uncertain and could impact his chances in the 2024 election. Additionally, Trump’s recent actions, such as calling for a primary challenge to a conservative lawmaker and endorsing unconventional candidates like Bernie Moreno, may further erode his support within the Republican Party.

Biden also faces challenges in key policy areas. Despite his efforts, polls show that Americans continue to have a negative outlook on the economy. Moreover, Biden’s stance on border security, where voters prefer Trump over him, is resting on the hopes of a bipartisan immigration deal that recently fell apart. If a deal is reached, it is likely that Biden will have to make concessions that could anger his own party, further complicating his chances of success.

The article suggests that these factors could lead to a campaign that lacks momentum and features candidates that voters are not enthusiastic about. Furthermore, Biden’s declining support among progressive voters, due to his support of Israel’s actions in Gaza, combined with a potential rightward shift on immigration, may push these voters towards third-party candidates or discourage them from voting altogether.

In summary, the article highlights the concerns within the Democratic Party regarding Biden’s declining political position and the potential challenges he may face in a rematch against Trump in the 2024 election. The article also emphasizes the impact of Trump’s legal troubles and divisive actions on his chances, as well as the difficulties Biden faces in key policy areas.


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